Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Sri Lanka’s military-minded chief, takes his final stand

A youthful Gotabaya Rajapaksa, in pressed white shirt and crimson tie, grins like a Cheshire cat as his elder brother Mahinda embraces him in a uncommon public show of tenderness. It was 2006 and Gotabaya, Sri Lanka’s defence secretary below his brother’s presidency, had narrowly survived a suicide bombing by the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam, a separatist group that for many years fought the Sri Lankan authorities in a brutal civil struggle.

This fortunate escape was the turning level in a profession that helped make his household the political dynasty of contemporary Sri Lanka. Gotabaya crushed the Tamil Tigers with a army marketing campaign through which tens of hundreds of civilians are believed to have died, dismissing allegations of struggle crimes. He introduced the household again to energy in 2019 after the Easter Sunday terrorist assaults, buying and selling off his picture as a army strongman to win a decisive presidential mandate from the Sinhalese Buddhist majority.

“The principle enchantment made by the folks to me was to guard the nation,” he stated in 2020. He would accomplish that “in the identical method we received the struggle, when most had been of the opinion that we might not be capable to”.

If allegations together with graft and extrajudicial killings by the army haven’t stopped Gotabaya and his household’s rise, this week’s occasions may. The president, 72, is accused of main the economic system into disaster with double-digit inflation, extreme shortages and a dramatic collapse in dwelling requirements.

His cupboard resigned on Monday — together with prime minister Mahinda. In an try to stay in energy, Gotabaya appointed veteran political rival Ranil Wickremesinghe in his brother’s place. But regardless of violent assaults by his supporters and an army-enforced curfew, it’s unclear whether or not Rajapaksa will be capable to quash an entrenched protest motion calling for his resignation.

On the coronary heart of his humbling is the story of a army chief who by no means learnt to be a politician and, critics say, Sri Lanka’s missed alternative to rework itself from a war-scarred nation into certainly one of Asia’s financial powerhouses. Rajapaksa stacked his administration with family and army officers, and used divisive insurance policies and rhetoric to mobilise his hardline base. He made financial selections, together with an idiosyncratic fertiliser ban, that uncovered his lack of governing expertise.

Rajapaksa “ran the federal government just like the army, not realising that in politics it’s important to create these broad coalitions and make these broad compromises”, says Ahilan Kadirgamar, a sociologist on the College of Jaffna.

Folks describe Gotabaya, who appears to be like extra like a retired professor than a struggle veteran, as a reserved counterpart to Mahinda, a rambunctious political operator. He was “in his ingredient” throughout the struggle, in response to Nirupama Rao, a former Indian diplomat who handled him for years. “He tended to be a person of few phrases, fairly in contrast to his brother.” But he typically revealed a menacing facet, as soon as threatening to hold a political rival.

The Rajapaksas hail from a political dynasty in Hambantota, a as soon as sleepy rural district on Sri Lanka’s luscious southern coast that has been reworked by Chinese language funding right into a would-be Belt-and-Street infrastructure hub. The household stand accused of enriching themselves whereas the island careened in the direction of its present debt disaster. They deny the allegations.

Gotabaya, certainly one of 9 siblings, entered the military in 1971 and rose up the ranks, whereas Mahinda adopted their father into parliament. Sri Lanka’s civil struggle began in 1983, a traumatic battle that will kill about 100,000. Gotabaya fought early army offensives earlier than a spell within the US, returning after Mahinda turned president in 2005.

An unrelenting offensive towards the Tigers lastly ended the struggle in 2009. The Sri Lankan military is accused of indiscriminately bombing densely populated areas and executing suspected militants. Journalists and different perceived dissidents had been additionally kidnapped, tortured and murdered whereas Gotabaya was defence secretary. The Tigers had been additionally accused of atrocities. As president, Gotabaya has stalled efforts for accountability, in response to Human Rights Watch, rubbishing allegations of wrongdoing as western pearl-clutching. “Both you’re a terrorist otherwise you’re an individual who’s combating the terrorism,” he as soon as advised the BBC.

After a spell in opposition, the household returned to energy in 2019. With Sri Lanka already going through a brewing financial disaster after years of heavy abroad borrowing, Rajapaksa lower taxes, eroding authorities revenues. The lack of tourism throughout the pandemic dealt an extra blow.

But at the same time as overseas reserves shrivelled and provides from gas to drugs ran low, his authorities dismissed calls to restructure and start IMF negotiations till a well-liked and political revolt compelled a U-turn in March.

Nalaka Godahewa, an allied MP, argues that Rajapaksa is poised to make a comeback. He “was introduced into energy by professionals who wished a non-politician,” he says. “He has a possibility to ship what he promised with a contemporary cupboard.”

However with troopers now patrolling the streets to implement uneasy calm after per week of violence, critics hope that is the final stand of the once-mighty Rajapaksa household.

“[Their] base has diminished significantly,” says Bhavani Fonseka, a human-rights lawyer. “From what was promised in 2019 and the state of affairs two years later, it’s a spectacular collapse.”

benjamin.parkin@ft.com

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